Home › Part III — Elimination & China's Transition › Chapter 27 — A Scenario Tree for the CCP’s Loss of Power, Dissolution, and the End of the Regime CPSU-Style Dissolution, Leadership Incapacitation, Intra-Party Split, War Defeat, Loss of Central Control, and Social Shock (Future Scenarios) › 27-6 Scenarios Six through Nine: The Risk of Social Violence, a Negotiated Transfer, International Support, and Democratic Exits › 27-6-3 Strategic Security, Humanitarian Relief, Refugees and Borders, and Conditional Assistance from Democratic Nations › 27-6-3-2 Strategic Security, Humanitarian Relief, Refugees and Borders, and Conditional Assistance from Democratic Nations: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning › 27-6-3-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 27-6-4 27-6-3-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 27-6-4 Folder · PG-E ID CH-027.6.3.2.05
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