25-2 Reverse Selection, Frequent Purges, and the Decay of Party, Government, and Military Organizations

SECTION FOCUS
Studies how “loyalty over competence” causes cadres to answer only upward, factions to distrust one another, frequent appointments and dismissals, turmoil within the military, and pervasive “lying flat,” so that a vast organization gradually loses its capacity to execute beneath an outwardly airtight facade. 25-2-1

📑 CH-025.2.1 25-2-1 Loyalty Vetting Overrides Professional CompetenceOpen item →

📦 CH-025.2.1.1 25-2-1-1 Loyalty Vetting Overrides Professional Competence: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.1.01　25-2-1-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.1.02　25-2-1-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.1.03　25-2-1-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.1.04　25-2-1-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.1.05　25-2-1-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.2.1.2 25-2-1-2 Loyalty Vetting Overrides Professional Competence: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.2.01　25-2-1-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.2.02　25-2-1-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.2.03　25-2-1-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.2.04　25-2-1-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.1.2.05　25-2-1-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-2-2

📑 CH-025.2.2 25-2-2 Anti-Corruption Purges, Factional Struggle, and the Collapse of Officials’ Sense of SecurityOpen item →

📦 CH-025.2.2.1 25-2-2-1 Anti-Corruption Purges, Factional Struggle, and the Collapse of Officials’ Sense of Security: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.1.01　25-2-2-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.1.02　25-2-2-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.1.03　25-2-2-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.1.04　25-2-2-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.1.05　25-2-2-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.2.2.2 25-2-2-2 Anti-Corruption Purges, Factional Struggle, and the Collapse of Officials’ Sense of Security: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.2.01　25-2-2-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.2.02　25-2-2-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.2.03　25-2-2-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.2.04　25-2-2-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.2.2.05　25-2-2-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-2-3

📑 CH-025.2.3 25-2-3 Turmoil in the Military’s Top Ranks, Command Trust, and Doubts about Combat EffectivenessOpen item →

📦 CH-025.2.3.1 25-2-3-1 Turmoil in the Military’s Top Ranks, Command Trust, and Doubts about Combat Effectiveness: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.1.01　25-2-3-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.1.02　25-2-3-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.1.03　25-2-3-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.1.04　25-2-3-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.1.05　25-2-3-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.2.3.2 25-2-3-2 Turmoil in the Military’s Top Ranks, Command Trust, and Doubts about Combat Effectiveness: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.2.01　25-2-3-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.2.02　25-2-3-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.2.03　25-2-3-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.2.04　25-2-3-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.3.2.05　25-2-3-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-2-4

📑 CH-025.2.4 25-2-4 Bureaucratic Lying Flat, Passive Implementation, and Buck-Passing at Every LevelOpen item →

📦 CH-025.2.4.1 25-2-4-1 Bureaucratic Lying Flat, Passive Implementation, and Buck-Passing at Every Level: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.1.01　25-2-4-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.1.02　25-2-4-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.1.03　25-2-4-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.1.04　25-2-4-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.1.05　25-2-4-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.2.4.2 25-2-4-2 Bureaucratic Lying Flat, Passive Implementation, and Buck-Passing at Every Level: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.2.01　25-2-4-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.2.02　25-2-4-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.2.03　25-2-4-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.2.04　25-2-4-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.2.4.2.05　25-2-4-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes