25-1 Personal Dictatorship, Lifelong Rule, and the Risk of a Fourth Term

SECTION FOCUS
Studies how supreme power contracts further from intra-Party oligarchy into one-man rule, and the long-term dangers that the erosion of term limits, the personalization of policy, and the disappearance of succession rules pose to state stability. 25-1-1

📑 CH-025.1.1 25-1-1 The Breakdown of Term Limits and the Drift toward Lifelong PowerOpen item →

📦 CH-025.1.1.1 25-1-1-1 The Breakdown of Term Limits and the Drift toward Lifelong Power: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.1.01　25-1-1-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.1.02　25-1-1-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.1.03　25-1-1-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.1.04　25-1-1-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.1.05　25-1-1-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.1.1.2 25-1-1-2 The Breakdown of Term Limits and the Drift toward Lifelong Power: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.2.01　25-1-1-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.2.02　25-1-1-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.2.03　25-1-1-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.2.04　25-1-1-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.1.2.05　25-1-1-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-1-2

📑 CH-025.1.2 25-1-2 Personal Will Supplants Collective Decision-MakingOpen item →

📦 CH-025.1.2.1 25-1-2-1 Personal Will Supplants Collective Decision-Making: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.1.01　25-1-2-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.1.02　25-1-2-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.1.03　25-1-2-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.1.04　25-1-2-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.1.05　25-1-2-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.1.2.2 25-1-2-2 Personal Will Supplants Collective Decision-Making: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.2.01　25-1-2-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.2.02　25-1-2-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.2.03　25-1-2-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.2.04　25-1-2-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.2.2.05　25-1-2-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-1-3

📑 CH-025.1.3 25-1-3 The Vacancy of a Successor, Pressure on Potential Heirs, and the Disappearance of Succession RulesOpen item →

📦 CH-025.1.3.1 25-1-3-1 The Vacancy of a Successor, Pressure on Potential Heirs, and the Disappearance of Succession Rules: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.1.01　25-1-3-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.1.02　25-1-3-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.1.03　25-1-3-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.1.04　25-1-3-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.1.05　25-1-3-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.1.3.2 25-1-3-2 The Vacancy of a Successor, Pressure on Potential Heirs, and the Disappearance of Succession Rules: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.2.01　25-1-3-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.2.02　25-1-3-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.2.03　25-1-3-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.2.04　25-1-3-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.3.2.05　25-1-3-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 25-1-4

📑 CH-025.1.4 25-1-4 The Information Black Box Surrounding the Top Leader’s Health, Incapacitation, and Power ProxiesOpen item →

📦 CH-025.1.4.1 25-1-4-1 The Information Black Box Surrounding the Top Leader’s Health, Incapacitation, and Power Proxies: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.1.01　25-1-4-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.1.02　25-1-4-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.1.03　25-1-4-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.1.04　25-1-4-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.1.05　25-1-4-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes

📦 CH-025.1.4.2 25-1-4-2 The Information Black Box Surrounding the Top Leader’s Health, Incapacitation, and Power Proxies: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)

• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.2.01　25-1-4-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.2.02　25-1-4-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.2.03　25-1-4-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.2.04　25-1-4-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
• 🗄 CH-025.1.4.2.05　25-1-4-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes