27-2 Scenario Two: Natural Death, Incapacitation by Serious Illness, and a Succession Crisis
This section: 4 items. Expand item → package; each package holds five fixed folders.
SECTION FOCUS
Studies the various branches of interim proxy rule within the Party, collective leadership, succession struggles, and policy shifts when the top leader dies of natural causes, falls gravely ill, or is incapacitated. 27-2-1
Studies the various branches of interim proxy rule within the Party, collective leadership, succession struggles, and policy shifts when the top leader dies of natural causes, falls gravely ill, or is incapacitated. 27-2-1
Catalog (progressive expansion)
📑 CH-027.2.1 27-2-1 Confirmation of Death or Incapacitation, Delayed Announcement, and a Power VacuumOpen item →
📦 CH-027.2.1.1 27-2-1-1 Confirmation of Death or Incapacitation, Delayed Announcement, and a Power Vacuum: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.1.01 27-2-1-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.1.02 27-2-1-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.1.03 27-2-1-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.1.04 27-2-1-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.1.05 27-2-1-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes
📦 CH-027.2.1.2 27-2-1-2 Confirmation of Death or Incapacitation, Delayed Announcement, and a Power Vacuum: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.2.01 27-2-1-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.2.02 27-2-1-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.2.03 27-2-1-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.2.04 27-2-1-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.1.2.05 27-2-1-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 27-2-2
📑 CH-027.2.2 27-2-2 Interim Power Arrangements in the Politburo, the Military Commission, and the Party ApparatusOpen item →
📦 CH-027.2.2.1 27-2-2-1 Interim Power Arrangements in the Politburo, the Military Commission, and the Party Apparatus: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.1.01 27-2-2-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.1.02 27-2-2-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.1.03 27-2-2-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.1.04 27-2-2-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.1.05 27-2-2-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes
📦 CH-027.2.2.2 27-2-2-2 Interim Power Arrangements in the Politburo, the Military Commission, and the Party Apparatus: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.2.01 27-2-2-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.2.02 27-2-2-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.2.03 27-2-2-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.2.04 27-2-2-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.2.2.05 27-2-2-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 27-2-3
📑 CH-027.2.3 27-2-3 Succession Coalitions, Factional Competition, and the Loyalty Choices of the Military and PoliceOpen item →
📦 CH-027.2.3.1 27-2-3-1 Succession Coalitions, Factional Competition, and the Loyalty Choices of the Military and Police: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.1.01 27-2-3-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.1.02 27-2-3-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.1.03 27-2-3-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.1.04 27-2-3-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.1.05 27-2-3-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes
📦 CH-027.2.3.2 27-2-3-2 Succession Coalitions, Factional Competition, and the Loyalty Choices of the Military and Police: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.2.01 27-2-3-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.2.02 27-2-3-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.2.03 27-2-3-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.2.04 27-2-3-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.3.2.05 27-2-3-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes 27-2-4
📑 CH-027.2.4 27-2-4 The Fork between Limited Reform, Continued High-Pressure Rule, and Democratic OpeningOpen item →
📦 CH-027.2.4.1 27-2-4-1 The Fork between Limited Reform, Continued High-Pressure Rule, and Democratic Opening: Facts, Indicators, Timelines, and Primary Evidence (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.1.01 27-2-4-1-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.1.02 27-2-4-1-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.1.03 27-2-4-1-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.1.04 27-2-4-1-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.1.05 27-2-4-1-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes
📦 CH-027.2.4.2 27-2-4-2 The Fork between Limited Reform, Continued High-Pressure Rule, and Democratic Opening: Harm Consequences, Chain of Responsibility, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning (5 folders)
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.2.01 27-2-4-2-1 Factual timelines; statistical indicators; triggers; figures and institutions; and core summaries
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.2.02 27-2-4-2-2 Civilian risks; behavioral consequences; state continuity; chain of responsibility; and alternative explanations
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.2.03 27-2-4-2-3 Primary documents; data charts; cartographic models; images, audio, and video; and web-page archives
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.2.04 27-2-4-2-4 Underlying assumptions; evidence levels; AI verification; human review; counter-evidence; and falsification conditions
- 🗄 CH-027.2.4.2.05 27-2-4-2-5 Scenario assessments; probability ranges; early-warning policy; update logs; and public notes